smphoto...
to the forum.
I think bidding early to get on the bid list is not such a good tactic. It's to rare that the high bidder does not complete the agreement.
AS is usually very good. If you are uneasy, and afraid your bid will not be placed, TEST AS. That's what the first 3 free snipes are for. Try to snipe manually (that means not tooooo early) for about one bid increment below your amount at AS. That way you can see for yourself how AS works for you. Just remember bidding a full minuite before the end of auction, gives many manual snipers a chance to adjust their bids, and this may drive the price up.
Best of luck... and please let us know what happens !