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assorted phony art on ebay

What do you folks think of this listing, purportedly of an original E.H. Shepard draft illustration for Winnie the Pooh:
160029408719
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&ih=006&it...TRK%3AMEWA%3AIT&rd=1
It seemed possibly legit, on the whole, though on the border of sounding too good to be true and even on the face of things there are some suspicious aspects. But after I entered a snipe on it, I looked around a bit more, and found this very recently expired listing for an identical-looking item:
280023688265
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=2800...0023688265%26fvi%3D1
What the ???? Well, if 160029408719 is a fraud it's a relatively clever fraud. Or maybe I'm just not cynical enough yet.
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